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Dear RM friends,
I would love to see a discussion, feedback, views or comments on these findings. How could these "gut feeling" be captured and translated into ML?
http://news.mit.edu/2018/doctors-rely-gut-feelings-decision-making-0720
We are interested as we noticed similar findings in the preparation of this chapter:
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/324200569_Early_Prediction_of_Patient_Mortality_Based_on_Routine_Laboratory_Tests_and_Predictive_Models_in_Critically_Ill_Patients
Cheers
Sven
Hi!
This sounds interesting, but I'm not sure if the question they answer there is the right one.
If the gut feelings just predict the number of tests done on the patients but not the outcome (becoming healthy again), is the system trained to do the right thing? Wouldn't it be more interesting to model the outcome with the gut feelings and the executed tests going into the model as attributes?
Regards,
Balázs
Wouldn't it be more interesting to model the outcome with the gut feelings and the executed tests going into the model as attributes?
Alternatively, one could try to break down the number of tests ordered into something more meaningful. Maybe it is possible to extract the number of additional tests ordered with results that lead to a change in treatment. Or the number of additional tests that cause any harm (side-effects).
Hi,
I agree with Balazs. While surely it is possible to predict the number of extra test based on past information (perhaps previous illnesses, hospital stays, data about the family, etc.), we are assuming that the "gut feeling" is correct.
I have seen enough doctors to cathegorically doubt that (O.T.: when you are ill, read about diagnostics and treatments. Doctors are often wrong, forget things or are lazy). A model that based on that previous information predicts possible culprit of the symptoms, which then must be tested, would make more sense in my opinion.
Sebastian
Just to add a bit context on the number of tests requested. Imagine each patient could walk through an MRI scan every day and is tested for any test available. This would give a good starting point in the quest for a diagnosis. However, the cost is to be balanced with the added value of each investigation. However if a test is available in your setting and you decide not to use a test, examination or investigation, leading to a bad outcome, legal implications can follow why the available diagnostical tools were not used. In other words medicine is a "serious game" finding a safe path with cost, outcome and legal impact in mind.